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Invezz 2025-03-10 09:49:51

Inside Trump’s strategic Bitcoin reserve: A new era for US digital asset policy or just a fluke?

The US government just made history by officially recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset—a first for any global superpower. President Donald Trump’s new Executive Order (EO) establishes a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, ensuring that seized Bitcoin will be permanently held by the federal government. Now the question is whether or not this is a game-changer or is it just political posturing wrapped in a shiny new label. Critics argue that this move lacks real substance, while supporters see it as the ultimate move to integrate Bitcoin into the global financial system. So, which one is it? What the Executive Order says On March 6, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an Executive Order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) and a US Digital Asset Stockpile. This means that every Bitcoin seized through civil and criminal forfeiture proceedings will be permanently held by the government. No sales. No liquidations. Just cold storage, indefinitely. The order also tasks the Treasury and Commerce Departments with developing budget-neutral strategies to acquire more Bitcoin in the future. Budget-neutral means that the government can only buy more if it doesn’t increase the deficit, raise taxes, or add financial burden to taxpayers. So while the door for accumulation is technically open, no direct purchases have been announced as of now. Beyond Bitcoin, the US Digital Asset Stockpile will hold other forfeited cryptocurrencies. Unlike the SBR, this stockpile is not considered strategic, and there’s no policy preventing the government from selling these assets. In other words, Bitcoin is now officially separated from the broader “crypto” category in US policy, which is a significant development in itself. Why this matters Bitcoin has spent the last decade clawing its way from a niche internet experiment to a legitimate macroeconomic asset. Institutional adoption has surged, especially following the approval of the first spot Bitcoin ETF in January 2024. Hedge funds, public companies, and sovereign wealth funds have taken positions. But until now, nation-states had largely remained on the sidelines. That era may be ending. The US government now officially holds 207,189 coins (worth approximately $17.5 billion at today’s prices), making it one of the largest Bitcoin holders globally. So if this is significant, does this move set off a global Bitcoin arms race? If Bitcoin is indeed a strategic asset, other countries may feel pressure to accumulate before it’s too late. With only 21 million BTC ever to exist, late adopters could find themselves priced out permanently. The implications are massive. A world where central banks and sovereign wealth funds scramble to secure Bitcoin would change the global financial system forever. For the US, this decision could also be seen as a hedge against monetary debasement. While the dollar remains the world’s reserve currency, holding Bitcoin could serve as insurance against potential changes to the global financial order. The bearish case: symbolic, unclear, and overhyped Skeptics argue that Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is more about branding than substance. While the government is now officially holding Bitcoin, the lack of an acquisition plan weakens its long-term significance. If the US isn’t actively buying, does this reserve mean anything? The harshest critics say that this is simply a new name for Bitcoin, the government already had. The executive order makes no guarantees that more Bitcoin will be acquired. Without a defined accumulation strategy, the reserve is just a rebranded holding rather than a deliberate sovereign investment. Others point to the market reaction as evidence that this move fell flat. Bitcoin dropped 5% immediately after the announcement, as traders likely searched for the word “buy” in the EO and didn’t find it. If this were a true game-changer, markets should have responded positively. Critics also warn about government interference in markets. The inclusion of other cryptocurrencies in a separate digital asset stockpile raises concerns about the government picking winners. If Bitcoin is in the reserve but other assets aren’t, does this imply implicit approval of one over the other? And if the government were to suddenly decide that Bitcoin should be regulated differently, could this reserve be used as a tool for control rather than a strategic advantage? The bullish case: Bitcoin’s legitimacy moment Supporters of the move see this as one of the most significant moments in Bitcoin’s history. For years, Bitcoin has been lumped in with speculative altcoins. This executive order changes that. Bitcoin is now officially recognized as a distinct, strategic asset by the most powerful government in the world. Unlike previous administrations, which treated Bitcoin with skepticism or outright hostility, this move legitimizes Bitcoin at the highest level. The US is now a sovereign Bitcoin holder, and that alone sets an important precedent. Beyond symbolism, the budget-neutral accumulation strategy could be a brilliant long-term approach. Instead of printing money or issuing debt to buy Bitcoin, the US could acquire BTC through alternative funding methods. Some have suggested that the government could: Sell Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) from the IMF Revalue gold reserves to unlock new capital Sell non-Bitcoin digital assets from the stockpile If executed properly, this approach would allow the U.S. to gradually accumulate Bitcoin without destabilizing financial markets or harming taxpayers. Perhaps the biggest implication is what happens next. Now that the U.S. has moved first, other governments will be forced to make a decision. Do they start stacking Bitcoin to maintain a competitive position? Or do they sit back and watch the US secure an early lead? Some countries have already shown their interest in using Bitcoin as a strategic reserve or as part of their sovereign wealth funds. If other nations adopt the same approach as the US, Bitcoin could truly have its defining moment of legitimacy. The post Inside Trump’s strategic Bitcoin reserve: A new era for US digital asset policy or just a fluke? appeared first on Invezz

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